RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Champions League · League phase, matchday 7Wednesday 20 January · 20:00 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig

RB Leipzig30th place

Rinvalo prediction2-1

Shakhtar Donetsk17th place

RBL 55%X 20%SHA 25%

Prediction

Key factors

RB Leipzig lead by 49 points on the European rating.

If RB Leipzig score first, they win 77% of the time
If Shakhtar Donetsk score first, they win 50% of the time
Chance of a goalless draw 6%

Expected goals1.9 – 1.2

Over 2.558%

Both teams score59%

Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a RB Leipzig win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds

Result

155%1.81X20%4.97225%4.04

Double chance

1X75%1.33X245%2.231280%1.25

Goals

Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)

012345

Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Shakhtar Donetsk1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

RB LeipzigLWL

Shakhtar DonetskDWL

Make your pick

RB Leipzig

–

Shakhtar Donetsk

Rinvalo: 2-1

Standings

Full table

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
16	Atlético Madrid	3	+1	4
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	+1	4
18	PSV Eindhoven	3	0	4
29	AEK Athens	3	-5	3
30	RB Leipzig	3	-5	3
31	Fenerbahçe	3	-6	2

Other games this matchday

2-1

2-1

1-2

2-1

2-1

2-0

2-0

2-0

2-1