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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Galatasaray23rd place
PSG 73%X 15%GS 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 211 points on the European rating.
  • The Ligue 1 average is 42 points above the Süper Lig average.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.37X15%6.57212%8.65
Double chance
1X88%1.13X227%3.741285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Galatasaray2-0 probability 13.4%

Form

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