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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Stuttgart6th place
PSV 43%X 22%VFB 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • The Bundesliga average is 163 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PSV Eindhoven win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.34X22%4.60235%2.82
Double chance
1X65%1.55X257%1.751278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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