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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Lille35th place
ROM 67%X 17%LIL 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 145 points on the European rating.
  • If Roma score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.50X17%5.75216%6.22
Double chance
1X84%1.19X233%2.991283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Lille2-0 probability 11.3%

Form

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