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Champions League · League phase, matchday 8Wednesday 27 January · 20:00 · Fortuna Arena
Slavia Prague32nd place
Rinvalo prediction0-2
Aston Villa2nd place
SLA 13%X 18%AVL 69%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Aston Villa lead by 339 points on the European rating.
  • If Slavia Prague score first, they win 37% of the time
  • If Aston Villa score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.1
Over 2.554%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.87X18%5.61269%1.44
Double chance
1X31%3.28X287%1.151282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.20BTTS yes47%2.14BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Slavia Prague · Columns: Aston Villa0-2 probability 12.8%

Form

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