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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 20:00 · Celtic Park
Celtic35th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Marseille34th place
CEL 39%X 22%OM 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Marseille lead by 76 points on the European rating.
  • If Celtic score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Marseille score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Marseille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.57X22%4.56239%2.56
Double chance
1X61%1.64X261%1.641278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celtic · Columns: Marseille1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

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