TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 20:00 · Turner Stadium
HAP 51%X 21%CEL 28%

Prediction

  • If Hapoel Be'er Sheva score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.95X21%4.82228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X249%2.061279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hapoel Be'er Sheva · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 11.5%