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Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 20:00 · ENEA Stadion
Lech Poznan32nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Torreense28th place
LEC 52%X 21%TOR 27%

Prediction

  • If Lech Poznan score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Torreense score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Lech Poznan win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X21%4.84227%3.66
Double chance
1X73%1.38X248%2.081279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lech Poznan · Columns: Torreense1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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