TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 20:00 · BayArena
Leverkusen2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Red Bull Salzburg21st place
B04 78%X 14%RED 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leverkusen lead by 260 points on the European rating.
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Red Bull Salzburg score first, they win 30% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score39%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
178%1.29X14%7.3729%11.22
Double chance
1X91%1.10X222%4.451286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.23BTTS yes39%2.53BTTS no61%1.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leverkusen · Columns: Red Bull Salzburg2-0 probability 15.0%

Form

Compare →