TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 7Thursday 21 January · 20:00 · Stadion Georgi Asparuhov
LEV 40%X 22%MIL 38%

Prediction

  • If Levski Sofia score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Milan score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Levski Sofia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.52X22%4.57238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X260%1.661278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Levski Sofia · Columns: Milan1-1 probability 11.8%