TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 17Wednesday 25 November · 19:45 · Vicarage Road
Watford21st place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
WAT 39%X 29%BLB 32%

Prediction

  • If Watford score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Watford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.59X29%3.46232%3.08
Double chance
1X68%1.48X261%1.631271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.33Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes50%2.02BTTS no50%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Watford · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 14.0%

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Watford24 January 20261-1
Watford – Blackburn Rovers13 September 20250-1
Blackburn Rovers – Watford26 April 20252-1
Watford – Blackburn Rovers26 October 20241-0
Blackburn Rovers – Watford23 December 20231-2
Watford – Blackburn Rovers27 August 20230-1