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Championship · Matchday 26Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Swansea City3rd place
WHU 50%X 25%SWA 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Swansea City 0.3.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.564%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.00X25%3.96225%4.03
Double chance
1X75%1.33X250%2.001275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.78BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

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Head to head

Swansea City – West Ham17 October 20260-1