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Championship · Matchday 13Saturday 31 October · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Full time3-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Cardiff City17th place
WOL 64%X 21%CAR 15%

What does the market say?

WolverhamptonDrawCardiff CityRinvalo64%21%15%
Market57%23%21%

✓ Agree · both back Wolverhampton

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Wolverhampton lead by 75 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Cardiff City 0.8.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.566%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X21%4.77215%6.60
Double chance
1X85%1.18X236%2.771279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.566%1.52Under 2.534%2.94BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Cardiff City3-0 probability 6.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Wolverhampton – Cardiff City31 October 20263-0