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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 16Saturday 21 November · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
WOL 64%X 22%CHA 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wolverhampton lead by 101 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.549%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.46214%7.35
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.771278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-0 probability 12.9%

Form

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