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Championship · Matchday 40Saturday 3 April · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Norwich City15th place
WOL 47%X 27%NOR 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Norwich City 1.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Norwich City -0.1.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.15X27%3.70226%3.78
Double chance
1X74%1.36X253%1.871273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.44

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Wolverhampton – Norwich City15 May 20221-1
Norwich City – Wolverhampton27 November 20210-0