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Championship · Matchday 42Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Swansea City3rd place
WRE 36%X 29%SWA 35%

Prediction

  • If Wrexham score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.78X29%3.48235%2.83
Double chance
1X65%1.55X264%1.561271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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Head to head

Swansea City – Wrexham5 September 20260-0
Wrexham – Swansea City13 March 20262-0
Swansea City – Wrexham19 December 20252-1