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Primeira Liga · Matchday 12Saturday 28 November · 18:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alverca10th place
ACV 38%X 29%ALV 33%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Alverca 1.8.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Alverca score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.64X29%3.48233%2.99
Double chance
1X67%1.50X262%1.611271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Alverca1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

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