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Primeira Liga · Matchday 12Sunday 29 November · 18:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Estoril18th place
GIL 57%X 25%EST 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Gil Vicente lead by 121 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Gil Vicente 1.4 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Gil Vicente 0.1, Estoril -0.6.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Estoril score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.547%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.76X25%3.93218%5.68
Double chance
1X82%1.21X243%2.321275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Estoril1-0 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estoril – Gil Vicente22 February 20263-1
Gil Vicente – Estoril21 September 20252-0
Gil Vicente – Estoril1 February 20251-2
Estoril – Gil Vicente25 August 20240-0
Estoril – Gil Vicente18 February 20241-3
Gil Vicente – Estoril17 September 20235-3