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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 12Monday 30 November · 20:15 · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Braga7th place
CPA 17%X 23%SCB 60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 177 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Casa Pia -1.0.
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 46% of the time
  • If Braga score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.8
Over 2.550%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.92X23%4.30260%1.67
Double chance
1X40%2.49X283%1.201277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes48%2.06BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Casa Pia · Columns: Braga0-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW

Head to head

Casa Pia – Braga23 April 20260-1
Braga – Casa Pia26 October 20254-0
Casa Pia – Braga10 May 20252-1
Braga – Casa Pia29 December 20241-2
Braga – Casa Pia5 May 20244-3
Casa Pia – Braga30 December 20231-3