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Primeira Liga · Matchday 12Friday 27 November · 20:15 · Estádio do Marítimo
Marítimo14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Nacional15th place
MAR 34%X 28%NAC 37%

Prediction

  • If Marítimo score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Nacional score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Nacional win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.92X28%3.54237%2.67
Double chance
1X63%1.60X266%1.521272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marítimo · Columns: Nacional1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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