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Primeira Liga · Matchday 18Sunday 17 January · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Benfica2nd place
ACV 12%X 18%BEN 70%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 232 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Benfica 1.5, Académico de Viseu -0.5.
  • Benfica take 2.3 points per game away.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 36% of the time
  • If Benfica score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.55X18%5.44270%1.43
Double chance
1X30%3.32X288%1.131282%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Benfica0-2 probability 12.1%

Form

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Head to head

Benfica – Académico de Viseu9 August 20262-2