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Primeira Liga · Matchday 18Sunday 17 January · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Moreirense8th place
SCB 62%X 23%MOR 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 99 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Moreirense -0.9.
  • If Braga score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Moreirense score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.8
Over 2.552%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X23%4.31215%6.88
Double chance
1X85%1.17X238%2.651277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Moreirense2-0 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW

Head to head

Moreirense – Braga9 August 20262-2
Moreirense – Braga4 April 20260-1
Braga – Moreirense9 November 20252-1
Moreirense – Braga3 February 20251-2
Braga – Moreirense25 August 20243-1
Braga – Moreirense4 February 20241-0