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Primeira Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Braga7th place
ACV 24%X 27%SCB 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 70 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Académico de Viseu -0.5.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Braga score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Braga win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.21X27%3.73249%2.02
Double chance
1X51%1.98X276%1.311273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Braga1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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