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Primeira Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estádio do Marítimo
Marítimo14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Estrela Amadora12th place
MAR 33%X 28%EAM 39%

Prediction

  • If Marítimo score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Estrela Amadora score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Estrela Amadora win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.04X28%3.55239%2.57
Double chance
1X61%1.64X267%1.491272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marítimo · Columns: Estrela Amadora1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

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