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Primeira Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Sporting CP3rd place
EST 11%X 17%SCP 73%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 333 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Estoril -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Sporting CP 1.6 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • If Estoril score first, they win 31% of the time
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 88% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.7
Over 2.570%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%9.49X17%5.99273%1.37
Double chance
1X27%3.67X289%1.121283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.34BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Sporting CP0-2 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sporting CP – Estoril27 February 20263-0
Estoril – Sporting CP27 September 20250-1
Sporting CP – Estoril3 March 20253-1
Estoril – Sporting CP27 September 20240-3
Estoril – Sporting CP11 May 20240-1
Sporting CP – Estoril5 January 20245-1