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Primeira Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Vitória de Guimarães13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Santa Clara4th place
VSC 36%X 30%SCL 33%

Prediction

  • If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.0
Over 2.536%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Vitória de Guimarães win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.77X30%3.28233%3.00
Double chance
1X67%1.50X264%1.571270%1.44
Goals
Over 2.536%2.74Under 2.564%1.57BTTS yes44%2.25BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Vitória de Guimarães · Columns: Santa Clara1-1 probability 14.4%

Form

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Head to head

Santa Clara – Vitória de Guimarães8 March 20262-0
Vitória de Guimarães – Santa Clara4 October 20252-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Santa Clara5 April 20252-0
Santa Clara – Vitória de Guimarães10 November 20241-0
Santa Clara – Vitória de Guimarães5 March 20231-3
Vitória de Guimarães – Santa Clara9 September 20221-0