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Primeira Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Alverca10th place
GIL 46%X 29%ALV 25%

Prediction

  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Alverca score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.540%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Gil Vicente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X29%3.48225%4.00
Double chance
1X75%1.33X254%1.861271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.540%2.51Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes46%2.19BTTS no54%1.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Alverca1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

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Head to head

Gil Vicente – Alverca14 March 20262-2
Alverca – Gil Vicente24 October 20250-4