TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 32Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estádio do Dragão
Porto1st place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Famalicão11th place
POR 68%X 21%FAM 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 227 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Porto 1.4, Famalicão -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Porto 3.0 points per game, Famalicão 1.4.
  • If Porto score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.6
Over 2.546%
Both teams score39%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.46X21%4.78211%9.40
Double chance
1X89%1.12X232%3.171279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes39%2.56BTTS no61%1.64

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Porto · Columns: Famalicão1-0 probability 14.9%

Form

Compare →
PortoWWWWW

Head to head

Porto – Famalicão4 April 20262-2
Famalicão – Porto9 November 20250-1
Porto – Famalicão18 April 20252-1
Famalicão – Porto7 December 20241-1
Porto – Famalicão13 April 20242-2
Famalicão – Porto2 December 20230-3