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Primeira Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Casa Pia17th place
ACV 51%X 27%CPA 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Casa Pia 1.2.
  • Académico de Viseu lead by 107 rating points.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.545%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X27%3.68222%4.61
Double chance
1X78%1.28X249%2.051273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Casa Pia1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

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