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Primeira Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Moreirense8th place
RAV 35%X 29%MOR 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Moreirense lead by 85 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Moreirense 2.0 points per game, Rio Ave 0.8.
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Moreirense score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Moreirense win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.87X29%3.50237%2.73
Double chance
1X63%1.58X265%1.531271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Moreirense1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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Head to head

Rio Ave – Moreirense16 February 20261-2
Moreirense – Rio Ave13 September 20253-1
Moreirense – Rio Ave13 April 20250-2
Rio Ave – Moreirense30 November 20243-2
Moreirense – Rio Ave2 March 20240-0
Rio Ave – Moreirense1 October 20230-4