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Primeira Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Vitória de Guimarães13th place
FAM 42%X 29%VSC 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Famalicão lead by 67 rating points.
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Famalicão win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.39X29%3.41229%3.48
Double chance
1X71%1.40X258%1.721271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Famalicão · Columns: Vitória de Guimarães1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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Head to head

Vitória de Guimarães – Famalicão14 March 20261-2
Famalicão – Vitória de Guimarães26 October 20252-0
Famalicão – Vitória de Guimarães8 February 20250-0
Vitória de Guimarães – Famalicão1 September 20242-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Famalicão9 March 20241-0
Famalicão – Vitória de Guimarães8 October 20231-3