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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 17Sunday 10 January · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Porto1st place
SCB 23%X 27%POR 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 182 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Porto 3.0 points per game, Braga 0.8.
  • Porto take 2.5 points per game away.
  • If Braga score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.545%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Porto win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.26X27%3.68249%2.03
Double chance
1X51%1.97X277%1.311273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Porto1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW
PortoWWWWW

Head to head

Braga – Porto22 March 20261-2
Porto – Braga2 November 20252-1
Braga – Porto8 March 20251-0
Porto – Braga6 October 20242-1
Braga – Porto18 May 20240-1
Porto – Braga14 January 20242-0