TR
Picks
Primeira Liga · Matchday 8Saturday 10 October · 20:30 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Estoril18th place
ACV 47%X 27%EST 26%

What does the market say?

Académico de ViseuDrawEstorilRinvalo47%27%26%
Market41%27%31%

✓ Agree · both back Académico de Viseu

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 2.0 points per game, Estoril 0.2.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Estoril score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X27%3.67226%3.87
Double chance
1X74%1.35X253%1.881273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Estoril2-1 probability 9.4% · final score

Head to head

Académico de Viseu – Estoril10 October 20262-1