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Primeira Liga · Matchday 8Saturday 10 October · 18:00 · Estádio do Marítimo
Marítimo14th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-2✓ Result correct
Porto1st place
MAR 10%X 17%POR 73%

What does the market say?

MarítimoDrawPortoRinvalo10%17%73%
Market10%19%71%

✓ Agree · both back Porto

Prediction

Predicted: 0-2
Key factors
  • Porto lead by 346 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Porto 3.0 points per game, Marítimo 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Porto 1.0, Marítimo -0.2.
  • If Marítimo score first, they win 33% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 90% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.3
Over 2.556%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
110%10.46X17%5.82273%1.37
Double chance
1X27%3.74X290%1.111283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.30BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marítimo · Columns: Porto1-2 probability 9.2% · final score

Form

Compare →
PortoWWWWW

Head to head

Marítimo – Porto10 October 20261-2
Marítimo – Porto1 February 20230-2
Porto – Marítimo6 August 20225-1
Porto – Marítimo30 January 20222-1
Marítimo – Porto22 August 20211-1