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Primeira Liga · Matchday 8Friday 9 October · 20:15 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Sporting CP3rd place
SCB 25%X 27%SCP 48%

What does the market say?

BragaDrawSporting CPRinvalo25%27%48%
Market31%29%41%

✓ Agree · both back Sporting CP

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 121 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Braga 0.1.
  • Sporting CP take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Braga score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Sporting CP win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.92X27%3.76248%2.09
Double chance
1X52%1.92X275%1.341273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Sporting CP1-3 probability 5.4% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

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