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Primeira Liga · Matchday 22Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Gil Vicente9th place
ACV 31%X 30%GIL 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Gil Vicente 0.2, Académico de Viseu -0.5.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Gil Vicente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.25X30%3.38240%2.52
Double chance
1X60%1.66X269%1.451270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.50Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Gil Vicente1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

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Head to head

Gil Vicente – Académico de Viseu6 September 20260-1