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Primeira Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Marítimo14th place
ACV 54%X 26%MAR 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Marítimo 0.2.
  • Académico de Viseu lead by 146 rating points.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Marítimo score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.555%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.86X26%3.87220%4.92
Double chance
1X80%1.26X246%2.171274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Marítimo1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

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Marítimo – Académico de Viseu22 August 20262-2