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Primeira Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Estrela Amadora12th place
SCB 64%X 23%EAM 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 174 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Estrela Amadora -0.1.
  • If Braga score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Estrela Amadora score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X23%4.43214%7.39
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.771277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Estrela Amadora2-0 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estrela Amadora – Braga10 September 20262-1
Braga – Estrela Amadora16 May 20262-2
Estrela Amadora – Braga3 January 20263-3
Estrela Amadora – Braga19 January 20250-1
Braga – Estrela Amadora11 August 20241-1
Braga – Estrela Amadora2 March 20243-0