TR
Picks
Primeira Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Santa Clara4th place
FAM 37%X 31%SCL 32%

Prediction

  • If Famalicão score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.0
Over 2.535%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Famalicão win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X31%3.23232%3.16
Double chance
1X68%1.46X263%1.601269%1.45
Goals
Over 2.535%2.84Under 2.565%1.54BTTS yes43%2.31BTTS no57%1.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Famalicão · Columns: Santa Clara1-1 probability 14.4%

Head to head

Santa Clara – Famalicão23 August 20261-0
Santa Clara – Famalicão18 January 20260-1
Famalicão – Santa Clara10 August 20253-0
Santa Clara – Famalicão10 May 20252-1
Famalicão – Santa Clara30 December 20241-2
Santa Clara – Famalicão19 February 20231-3