TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Gil Vicente9th place
CPA 23%X 28%GIL 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Gil Vicente lead by 114 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Gil Vicente 0.2, Casa Pia -1.0.
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.4
Over 2.539%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.35X28%3.55249%2.04
Double chance
1X51%1.96X277%1.301272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.539%2.60Under 2.561%1.63BTTS yes44%2.29BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Casa Pia · Columns: Gil Vicente0-1 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Gil Vicente – Casa Pia24 August 20262-0
Gil Vicente – Casa Pia27 April 20262-1
Casa Pia – Gil Vicente13 December 20251-1
Casa Pia – Gil Vicente22 February 20251-0
Gil Vicente – Casa Pia22 September 20241-1
Casa Pia – Gil Vicente3 March 20240-0