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Primeira Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 31 January · 16:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Estoril18th place
RAV 38%X 28%EST 34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Rio Ave 0.8 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Estoril score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rio Ave win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.64X28%3.59234%2.92
Double chance
1X66%1.52X262%1.611272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.546%2.15BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Estoril1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
Rio AveDLWLL
EstorilLLLLL

Head to head

Estoril – Rio Ave22 August 20260-2
Estoril – Rio Ave22 March 20261-2
Rio Ave – Estoril1 November 20250-4
Estoril – Rio Ave22 February 20252-1
Rio Ave – Estoril21 September 20242-2
Rio Ave – Estoril31 January 20241-1