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Primeira Liga · Matchday 33Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Moreirense8th place
ACV 42%X 29%MOR 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Moreirense 2.0.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Moreirense score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X29%3.47229%3.46
Double chance
1X71%1.41X258%1.731271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Moreirense1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

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