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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 33Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Marítimo14th place
SCB 70%X 20%MAR 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 215 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Marítimo -0.5.
  • If Braga score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Marítimo score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.8
Over 2.562%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.42X20%5.13210%9.77
Double chance
1X90%1.11X230%3.361281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.62BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Marítimo2-0 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW

Head to head

Marítimo – Braga12 February 20231-2
Braga – Marítimo21 August 20225-0
Braga – Marítimo15 January 20220-1
Marítimo – Braga7 August 20210-2