TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 33Sunday 9 May · 16:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Vitória de Guimarães13th place
RAV 27%X 28%VSC 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Vitória de Guimarães 0.6, Rio Ave -1.0.
  • Vitória de Guimarães lead by 75 rating points.
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Vitória de Guimarães win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.66X28%3.64245%2.22
Double chance
1X55%1.82X273%1.381272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Vitória de Guimarães1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Vitória de Guimarães – Rio Ave25 April 20262-0
Rio Ave – Vitória de Guimarães13 December 20250-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Rio Ave27 April 20253-0
Rio Ave – Vitória de Guimarães16 December 20242-2
Rio Ave – Vitória de Guimarães4 May 20242-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Rio Ave23 December 20231-0