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Primeira Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Nacional15th place
ACV 45%X 28%NAC 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Nacional 0.6.
  • Académico de Viseu lead by 102 rating points.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Nacional score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.23X28%3.56227%3.69
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.811272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Nacional1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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