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Primeira Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Sporting CP3rd place
MOR 12%X 18%SCP 70%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 251 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Moreirense -0.9.
  • Sporting CP take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Moreirense score first, they win 35% of the time
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.4
Over 2.564%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.35X18%5.58270%1.43
Double chance
1X30%3.35X288%1.141282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.79BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Moreirense · Columns: Sporting CP0-2 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Moreirense – Sporting CP21 February 20260-3
Sporting CP – Moreirense22 September 20253-0
Sporting CP – Moreirense18 April 20253-1
Moreirense – Sporting CP5 December 20242-1
Moreirense – Sporting CP19 February 20240-2
Sporting CP – Moreirense17 September 20233-0