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Primeira Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estádio do Marítimo
Marítimo14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Estoril18th place
MAR 35%X 28%EST 37%

Prediction

  • If Marítimo score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Estoril score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Estoril win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.87X28%3.62237%2.67
Double chance
1X63%1.60X265%1.541272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.555%1.80Under 2.545%2.25BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marítimo · Columns: Estoril1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estoril – Marítimo27 May 20233-1
Marítimo – Estoril22 January 20231-0
Marítimo – Estoril5 February 20220-0
Estoril – Marítimo27 August 20212-1