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Primeira Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Santa Clara4th place
GIL 39%X 31%SCL 30%

Prediction

  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals1.1 – 0.9
Over 2.533%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Gil Vicente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.59X31%3.20230%3.31
Double chance
1X70%1.43X261%1.631269%1.45
Goals
Over 2.533%3.00Under 2.567%1.50BTTS yes42%2.41BTTS no58%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Santa Clara1-1 probability 14.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Santa Clara – Gil Vicente21 March 20261-0
Gil Vicente – Santa Clara3 November 20251-0
Gil Vicente – Santa Clara15 March 20250-1
Santa Clara – Gil Vicente25 October 20242-1
Santa Clara – Gil Vicente6 May 20233-2
Gil Vicente – Santa Clara29 December 20221-0