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Primeira Liga · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Rio Ave16th place
SCB 68%X 21%RAV 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 183 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Rio Ave -1.0.
  • If Braga score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.558%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X21%4.86211%8.73
Double chance
1X89%1.13X232%3.121279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Braga · Columns: Rio Ave2-0 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW
Rio AveDLWLL

Head to head

Braga – Rio Ave8 February 20263-0
Rio Ave – Braga31 August 20252-2
Rio Ave – Braga2 March 20252-1
Braga – Rio Ave29 September 20244-0
Rio Ave – Braga9 March 20240-0
Braga – Rio Ave7 October 20232-1