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Primeira Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Estádio do Fontelo
Académico de Viseu6th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Sporting CP3rd place
ACV 12%X 19%SCP 69%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 222 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Académico de Viseu -0.5.
  • Sporting CP take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 36% of the time
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.3
Over 2.560%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.13X19%5.32269%1.45
Double chance
1X31%3.21X288%1.141281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.50BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Académico de Viseu · Columns: Sporting CP0-2 probability 11.4%

Form

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Head to head

Sporting CP – Académico de Viseu25 October 20261-2